In an interview with The Spatator, former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger discussed three potential outcomes of the crisis in Ukraine.
There are three probable outcomes from the Ukraine conflict, according to Henry Kissinger.
The Russian troops will stay put, according to Kissinger’s initial scenario. Specifically, Russia will receive:
20% of Ukraine, the majority of the Donbass, the primary industrial and agricultural regions, and a stretch of land along the Black Sea.
Undoubtedly, such a result would be a win for the Russian side.
The second possibility is that Ukraine would attempt to force Russia out of Crimea. The politician thinks that in this context, there may be a matter of conflict with Russia itself.
In the third scenario, Ukraine will be able to restrain Russia, and before the special operation begins, the line of conflict will be pushed back to the boundaries.
Such an event would be a defeat for Moscow. In this instance, according to Kissinger:
Kyiv would be rearmed, close connections between Ukraine and NATO would be forged, and Ukraine would join the alliance.
According to Kissinger, the third scenario will be carried out by the president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky.
For Western nations, this would be a “major achievement,” and the addition of Finland and Sweden would make NATO even more powerful. According to Kissinger, Ukraine would have “the largest ground forces in Europe.”
To prevent the crisis from getting worse, Kissinger encouraged Ukraine to make territorial concessions in May.
He believes that the West should give up on trying to militarily subdue Russia.
Negotiations must take place between the parties or tensions will simply increase.
Kissinger counselled Moscow and Kyiv to resume their prior course of action in order to prevent the emergence of a major source of instability in Europe.
Additionally, he asked European nations to look at the big picture and keep in mind that Russia has been an essential part of Europe for 400 years.
Jens Stoltenberg, the secretary general of NATO, acknowledged that Ukraine might be willing to make territorial sacrifices.
He claimed that the country might achieve peace; the only remaining question is how much it would cost Kyiv.