With less than a month to go until the midterm elections in 2022, the Republican majority in the House has shrunk to a projected 11 seats, down from the expected carnage.
Changes in the political scene, such as the transportation of migrants to Democratic cities and the enactment of new legislation following the overturning of Roe v. Wade, have affected the projected outcome of the November midterm elections.
A model developed by CBS News predicts that the Republicans will emerge from the election with a razor-thin majority of 223-212. This is the second consecutive month of decline for the Republicans, who held 226 seats in August and 230 seats in July.
The model has a plus-or-minus 13-seat error margin.
The Senate, which is currently evenly divided, is less likely to convert to a Republican majority in 42 days’ time.
In a non-presidential election year, it is uncertain how the election will play out, but if Biden’s consistently low support rating is any indication, it does not bode well for Democrats.
Biden’s approval rating is holding in the low 40s, far above his July low of the mid- to high-30s.
Predictions for the midterm elections of 2022 indicate a second consecutive month of declining support for the Republicans’ ability to win a majority in the House. The most recent simulations indicate a 223-12 GOP majority
On the drive started by Republican governors to bus and fly migrants from southern border states to sanctuary cities and Democratic places such as Washington, D.C., New York City, Chicago, and Martha’s Vineyard, opinions are divided among the electorate.
Overall, there is a split of 51 percent approval to 49 percent disapproval, but when the numbers are broken down by party, the differences are significantly bigger.
Eighty percent of registered Democratic voters disapprove of the so-called ‘political stunt’ including the busing and flying of migrants to liberal regions, compared to an astounding 87 percent of registered Republicans who approve of the practice.
Independent voters are split 48 percent approval to 52 percent disapproval.
This month, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis dispatched a private plane carrying 50 migrants to the luxurious island of Martha’s Vineyard off the coast of Massachusetts. It is alleged in a class action complaint that he tricked the migrants into boarding the airplane.
Voters are divided on the transportation of migrants to Democratic jurisdictions, while a stunning 87 percent of Republicans support the ‘political charade’ described by liberals.
The departure of DeSantis followed months of migrants being bused to sanctuary towns from Texas and Arizona by their respective Republican governors.
Two-thirds of the 2,253 registered voters questioned by the CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker believe their rights and liberties are at great danger in the midterm election, and both Republicans and Democrats believe they would have less rights if the opposing party obtained control of Congress.
68% of probable voters believe ‘a lot’ of their freedoms are at stake in the upcoming election, while 22% feel’some’ are at risk. Ten percent of probable voters believe that their rights and liberties are not in jeopardy as a result of the approaching election.
59% of likely voters feel that abortion is a very important factor in their November 8 voting decisions.
According to the poll, those who feel abortion is an important issue are nearly twice as likely to vote for Democrats than Republicans.
Roe v. Wade’s overthrow earlier this summer has led to a slew of legislative initiatives that could restrict women’s right to terminate pregnancies. This has altered the political environment of the midterm elections of 2022.
This month, Republican Senator Lindsey Graham presented legislation that would prohibit abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy nationally, which has frightened Democrats and pro-abortion groups.
Monday is a day off for both the House and Senate, but the Senate will return on Tuesday to vote on a continuing resolution to keep the government funded until Friday and avert a shutdown.
After the June overturning of Roe v. Wade by the Supreme Court, which cast doubt on the future of this right, Democrats seek to codify gay marriage before the November elections.