According to an estimate made 30 days before Election Day, Senate Republicans are on track to win back the majority in the upper chamber by gaining two seats in the western United States in the midterm elections of 2022.
Blake Masters could defeat Arizona Democratic Senator Mark Kelly, according to a RealClearPolitics estimate, despite Kelly’s average 1,8 percent lead in October polls over his Republican opponent.
According to the projection, Republican Adam Laxalt will defeat Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada in November. In the month preceding midterm elections, Laxalt leads the incumbent senator in average polls by 1,3 percent.
Donald Trump conducted consecutive rallies in Nevada and Arizona on Friday and Saturday in an ongoing push to elect his Republican candidates to Congress in the upcoming midterm elections. Both Masters and Laxalt received his support in their respective primaries.
In the midterm elections of 2022, RealClearPolitics projects that the U.S. Senate will swing to a 52-48 majority for the Republicans.
Trump-backed Republican Adam Laxalt is projected to defeat incumbent Democratic Senator Cathy Cortez Mastro in Nevada.
If Masters and Laxalt defeat the Democratic senators they’re up against, the Senate may flip to a 52-48 majority of Republicans, positioning Congress to obstruct the majority of President Joe Biden’s legislative plans in the second part of his tenure.
According to the Cook Political Report, ten of the 35 Senate seats up for election in the 2022 midterms are either a toss-up or leaning Democrat or Republican.
There are 14 seats controlled by Democrats and 21 seats controlled by Republicans up for election.
During the past two years, Democrats have held the smallest possible majority in the Senate, with Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tie-breaking vote.
This year’s close elections feature contests in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, both of which are projected to remain red. In Georgia, Democratic incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock is likely to defeat his vulnerable Republican challenger and former NFL star Herschel Walker. Georgia is expected to remain blue.
The estimates also indicate that Trump-backed Republican Blake Masters (right) will defeat Arizona Senator Mark Kelly (left) in the 2022 midterm election.
Even though Democrat John Fetterman has an average polling edge of 4.3% in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, the RCP forecast sees Dr. Mehmet Oz, the Republican candidate favored by Donald Trump, winning in November.
In Pennsylvania, Fetterman and Oz are competing to replace retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey.
Biden received the electoral votes from both Nevada and Arizona in the 2020 presidential election.
In 2016, Nevada also voted for Hillary Clinton, whereas Arizona, a southern border state, voted for Trump in his first presidential run.
In the 2022 Senate elections, Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio tilt red, while Arizona, Colorado, and New Hampshire lean blue.
</ad-slot