As the midterm election approaches, the Democrats’ lead continues to decrease, and the party now enjoys a 2-percentage-point edge over the Republicans; Joe Biden’s favor rating is also declining, which has no effect on the polling.
45% of registered voters questioned by Politico/Morning Consult indicated they would vote for Democrats in the midterm elections of 2022, compared to 43% who said they would vote for Republicans — an increase of 2% from last week.
The little discrepancy between the parties falls within the margin of error of the survey, which is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
The remaining 12 percent of respondents either do not know or have no opinion regarding the November election outcome.
In the final 40 days before Election Day, Biden’s favorability among registered voters is also declining.
The week of September 18, the president’s overall approval rating was 46%, compared to his 5% decline to 41% in the most recent poll conducted this week.
Democrats’ advantage over Republicans has shrunk to 2%, which is within the poll’s error margin.
Only among Democrats, his popularity rating fell from 85 percent last week to 80 percent now.
In their generic midterm ballot, the left’s advantage against the Republicans dropped from 5 percent to 2 percent.
The majority of Americans are dissatisfied with the country’s current course.
In September Gallup polls, only 21 percent of respondents stated they are satisfied with the country’s direction, which is an improvement from August, when only 17 percent felt the same, and July, when only 13 percent were satisfied.
The July poll was conducted after a 40-year high inflation rate of 9.1% was recorded in June. Voting Americans constantly rank the economy, particularly inflation, petrol costs, and employment, as their top concern.
Recent polls and expert estimates indicate that the Republican winning margin is narrowing as Election Day approaches, contrary to earlier projections of a Republican massacre in this year’s midterms.
Republicans are still projected to win the House, with a new model estimate from CBS News predicting a 223-212, or 11-seat Republican advantage.
Predictions for the midterm elections of 2022 indicate a second consecutive month of declining support for the Republicans’ ability to win a majority in the House. The most recent simulations indicate a 223-12 GOP majority
Uncertainty surrounds the future of the Senate, which is currently split 50-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris holding the tie-breaking vote and pushing the party to the narrowest majority imaginable.
Some are concerned that former President Donald Trump’s support for more extreme and “out there” candidates could bode trouble for the GOP in the midterm elections of 2022.
The television doctor Mehmet Oz, who is campaigning for the seat of retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, is one example. Trump supported Dr. Oz in the primary, and it is currently uncertain whether he can receive sufficient statewide and moderate support to win the seat.